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  • This year, the machinery industry will recover steadily, and seek development through transformation and upgrading
  • 2019/12/23¡¡Reading time£º[846]
  • Recently, nine ministries and commissions including the national development and Reform Commission jointly reviewed and selected "the first batch of national top 100 innovative enterprise pilot enterprises". The first batch of announced innovative enterprises are 9, of which Sany Heavy Industry has become the only one shortlisted enterprise in the construction machinery industry.

    "After years of high-speed growth, China's machinery industry entered a new stage of medium speed growth in 2015. Since this year, the economic operation of the machinery industry has continued the trend of stabilizing in the fourth quarter of 2015. The overall operation index is better than that of the industry, or the same period last year. " Wang Ruixiang, President of China Machinery Industry Federation, said at the 2015 top 100 of China's machinery industry and top 30 of China's automobile industry press conference.

    Steady growth and recovery

    It is understood that from January to April, the cumulative growth rate of added value of the machinery industry was 7.8%; from January to March, the cumulative main business income was 5.25 trillion yuan, up 5.96% year on year, and the cumulative total profit was 337.75 billion yuan, up 7.86% year on year. Chen Bin, executive vice president of China Machinery Industry Federation, said that from the data of industry operation in the first quarter, the industry growth began to pick up at the beginning of this year. Take the cumulative order of key contact enterprises as an example, its growth rate changes from negative to positive. From January to March, the cumulative orders of key contact enterprises in the machinery industry increased by 4.43% year on year, up 13.67 percentage points from the same period last year (- 9.24%).

    From the overall list and ranking of the top 100 mechanical enterprises and top 30 automobile enterprises, the overall development of the enterprises is stable. Chen Bin said that there was little change in the ranking of enterprises on the list, especially among the top ten enterprises, except for individual fine-tuning, which basically kept the original ranking. This fully shows that the top 100 and 30 enterprises still maintain a good momentum of development and strong competitiveness. However, the growth rate of investment in the machinery industry and the order growth rate of key contact enterprises are still at a low level, and the situation of foreign trade import and export is still not optimistic; the number of products in the machinery industry with a year-on-year decline is still more than half.

    According to reports, the main products that maintain the growth of output are those with weak periodicity, including the main engine products that are closely related to consumption, people's livelihood, energy conservation and emission reduction, efficiency and expenditure saving, and industrial upgrading, as well as some parts. For example, the agricultural machinery industry's high-powered tractors, post harvest processing equipment and feed production equipment, instruments and meters. The first is typical investment products with strong cyclical characteristics, such as engineering machinery, truck, heavy machinery, metallurgical machinery, petrochemical equipment, conventional power generation equipment, etc.; the second is ordinary mechanical products with serious overcapacity, such as ordinary machine tools, AC motors, low-voltage electrical appliances, transformers, rolling bearings, etc.

    Will continue the trend of low and stable

    "At present, China's machinery industry is still facing challenges." Chen Bin said that on the one hand, there is still downward pressure on the domestic economy, and the machinery industry generally lags behind the overall economic operation, so it is difficult to improve the weak situation of domestic demand market of machinery products in the short term; on the other hand, the growth of Global trade is weak, and the export situation of machinery industry is difficult to improve significantly in the short term. At the same time, the machinery industry still has favorable factors of steady progress, and the macro policy environment is conducive to the adjustment of industry structure.

    At present, the state has issued a series of industry favorable policies. "Made in China 2025" related supporting policies have been issued successively, indicating the direction for the long-term development of the machinery industry. Chen Bin said that at present, the association is actively studying and formulating the three-year action plan for stable growth, structural adjustment, transformation and upgrading, cost reduction and efficiency improvement of the machinery industry, striving to make efforts from both sides of supply and demand, promote application, promote innovation, make up for shortcomings, adjust structure, consolidate foundation, improve environment and increase efficiency, so as to provide a good policy environment for the development of the machinery industry and boost industry confidence.

    Regarding the trend of the machinery industry this year, Chen Bin said that since the growth rate of the main indicators of the machinery industry last year was at a new low in recent years, from a year-on-year perspective, the growth rate of the main indicators will continue to pick up this year.

    "Based on comprehensive judgment, it is expected that in 2016, the machinery industry will continue the trend of low and stable since the fourth quarter of last year, the growth rate of the main indicators will continue to be better than that of the industry and the same period of last year, and the export growth rate is expected to pick up and turn better, and the decline will be narrowed." Chen Bin said that the annual growth rate of added value of machinery industry is expected to be about 5.5%, the growth rate of main business income and profit is expected to be about 3.5%, and the export growth rate is expected to change from negative to positive.

    Automobile industry is expected to enter the best period

    In 2015, the total operating revenue of top 30 auto enterprises reached 3.895 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.61% year on year, and the growth rate dropped by 8.92 percentage points year on year. "There was a certain chance that the growth rate of automobile production and sales slowed down last year." Dong Yang, executive vice president of China Association of automobile industry, said that restrictions on purchase, export decline, stock market volatility and some policy restrictions related to second-hand cars in big cities directly led to the slowdown of production and sales growth, which dropped to 4%.

    Dong Yang believes that the constraints on the growth of the automobile industry are expected to be alleviated through scientific development during the 13th Five Year Plan period. For the problem of automobile pollution, China's newly produced automobiles will implement the fifth stage emission standard with reference to the experience of developed countries; for the problem of traffic congestion, it will gradually reduce to less than 10% with the growth of automobiles, strengthen the construction of urban roads and parking facilities, improve the level of traffic management and other factors; for the problem of energy shortage, according to the national development plan for energy saving and new energy vehicles ¡·The average fuel consumption of new passenger vehicles will be reduced by 28%. With the gradual improvement of the restrictive factors and the efforts of the automobile enterprises themselves, China's automobile technology will make great progress. Dong Yang believes that the market will not grow slowly like last year, and the 13th five year plan may become the best period for the development of China's automobile industry.

    According to the analysis of the insiders, China's automobile industry has a relatively complete modern automobile industry system; the independent brand has made great progress, with the output of more than 20 million vehicles, the independent brand is close to 50%; the consumers are more mature, the blind enthusiasm for joint venture brand is reduced, and the recognition of the independent brand is improved. At the same time, within the framework of "made in China 2025", the state will support the automobile industry to build an industry innovation center focusing on basic and common technology research, which provides strong support for China's automobile industry to solve technical problems.